Freeze Overview

The Freeze phase is designed to stop large-scale fighting and stabilize civilian life under a verification-first architecture.

The goal is not to “solve the political settlement” immediately; the goal is to create conditions where a legitimate political process can occur.

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Table of Contents

Operational Mechanics

• Ceasefire Architecture Defining the geography, prohibited actions, and rules of engagement.
• Stabilization Force Concept Options for the independent monitoring presence.
• Verification & Monitoring Incident classification, data fusion, and reporting dashboards.

Humanitarian & Economic

• Humanitarian Corridors & Protected Infrastructure Ensuring safe access and protecting critical systems (power, water, rail).
• Sanctions/Aid Linkage How conditional incentives are tied to verification gates.

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Objectives

• Reduce major hostilities to a low, measurable baseline.
• Establish independent monitoring and incident classification.
• Create reliable deconfliction channels to prevent escalation spirals.
• Protect civilians and critical infrastructure.
• Enable humanitarian access and urgent repairs.

What “Freeze” Includes

A Freeze package typically combines five verifiable elements:

1. Ceasefire Terms: Geography and lines, prohibited actions (e.g., offensive operations), and reporting obligations.
2. Verification & Monitoring: An independent presence, standardized incident classification (severity/intent), and public dashboards.
3. Deconfliction: Hotlines, joint incident rooms, and escalation ladders.
4. Humanitarian Protections: Corridors, repair windows, and protected infrastructure lists.
5. Conditional Incentives: Benefits (aid, sanctions adjustments) tied directly to compliance gates.

Entry & Exit Logic

Entry (Readiness)

What must be ready before Day One:

• Monitoring design and staffing plan.
• Incident reporting and classification rules.
• Deconfliction channels established.
• Protected infrastructure list agreed upon.

Exit Gate (Transition to Vote)

What must be verified to proceed to Phase 2:

• Sustained reduction in major hostilities for the agreed period.
• Monitoring system functioning with independent reporting.
• Active dispute-handling mechanisms (incidents processed and resolved).
• Basic civilian stabilization indicators trending positively.